One strong report after a brutal month: AMD rose about 8% after hours while chips are still down 26% in a month. AIChief Capital: Wednesday, November 4, 2026 — AMD Data Center +97%: AI Carries the Chip Trade One strong report after a brutal month: AMD rose about 8% after hours while chips are still down 26% in a month.
Read online
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/28b7e801462a12a4a007779d8404b20990a837d683e138412cfc985c02afdd4c2997d4eb1f65aee65333e78453e5005634636c31833f9e5a04745e1dacddb3ebb85e059e1171ea2ea843d12fa2869ec39b6fb319c3fe9da5d52afe2955c9e96af9745c1b4488a873d492b76d5406de54d6f77d561fa22cd92f7e1a26ab998df41bb2bca80421e873732f199499cd03a758b38461f0d9f412d7725d3bc29454a4/71abf3342d9d2b42
AIChief Capital Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · AI Investing Intelligence Price data cutoff: Tuesday, November 3 close (4:00 PM EST); after-hours moves noted. News cutoff: AMD results (Nov 3, after the close). 🚨 The Big Signal AMD answered Monday's question: AI demand is strong enough to carry a chipmaker through a PC slowdown. AMD's data-center revenue nearly doubled to a record $8.5 billion, up 97%, and the company guided fourth-quarter revenue to about $17 billion, roughly 66% growth from a year ago (
AMD
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/1d273f735aa4a9de87e273f03666bb7eee879a69ef34e3935e7fd75eb8ac159eec877b983911e86511c78cbbed7dfbce698a8bfbda5f4bd81c1d83ff73fa52564a9e563739d55ccd110798e9e769b56790a67ff30bd9768ef95b0364be09ae75a1f45037936bccc39349fe32074f6a1f749a4f0221487edc041dcb48c9c5bfe85f40b29a3fe4e35a896b551dea577b337ed292f7e439d1d6391c10b82372a34c/f5d2b9d274a1db43
). Its client and gaming business shrank 8%, but data center now makes up 64% of revenue, up from 47% a year ago. The stock rose about 8% after hours (
CNBC
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/43b3b195b06bf6ab88bff2474bb82b747768429d72be6e464bb55fbd171c8945a9415f9282c636ca98cb198aef389e0d5ac852d08cb9943f403d481c49c9913ba0f761b9e84b629d93980b67ae11d63be4de2868d9bf0e4ad4bafa1090e8a40f6639b5170c4ea5753b5e6327705a1898c6fc5386998b87cd5785817ff8900683b450f328cca9fd0616e94c589e537f2ce9dcf908c9d2a122c324b9c27c55458a/781bde2d021ad58d
). The same day, the AI trade's biggest deal of the year was already on the table: Marvell agreed on Monday to buy Lumentum in an all-stock deal valuing it at $115 billion (
Lumentum 8-K
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/669b7067ed5a36282c917e59099e8507ab946f625e331294d5230e515c28b337bd4677981a29e52884c8f76bb688b995d1119624512c1b65fccf3047c199f39b50a6be12d5284e4e30de6d1e1f346b8a4c5318616930969f35efcbfe961c991b1bf3b49f0640ee9295d4102f7839a3c9a92282c1f3e5fe996326dee4a6173a962559d22301976ce33b1f50e9f45df7912f08766367cdfe7e2a64657f8e8bd2e7/c5bff3a26e5aa553
). The Open Question: After October's 15% chip drop, does one strong report rebuild confidence, or did investors just buy the dip? From Our Partners Steal Attio’s GTM setup.
https://link.mail.beehiiv.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
For the first time, see the system that runs GTM at
Attio
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/d38cb9755078f2de4ace45bd5964be33d84f8c2aa7dbb116572dcd36a3dae65a976e082efa915671cce16b8b0a9c4590acf38301e4030ff013971a14b22f519a0528c3a78bbaf5c828c78d2504efe4acd302bec2503991e74c241a5f86561c2fa5c3e60eb9f6338fecdf619fadc7f9da497b9566e9e38fab6e318b3620e5fc86bccaa4e96e9af6643018480e87bacd28eda59af426823d01f2ba382614c39f73ecadab7998340c08727f36e12ad26b6131ad790a63caedf87918d854ddca3cd358ceaddd787efe44273144f06f5fee778f743852e371c498b4adf218561400cd9c14bd26fce17b849890cc061d10e8c379ada9add24078ce422ddb2b8cb9ab26/94762193e01eb91b
, the #1 fastest-growing CRM on Brex and Ramp. Attio’s Rev Ops and Solutions leads have written up all of it, including how it spots at-risk accounts early and surfaces upsell opportunities while they’re still warm.
Read the playbook.
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/7b977533aa2aca93c893f9cfe69852eea481ba67744827499db6db3cd38a75594afcef4c76016832796be54d47acc07a27caee1e2824716ca796ef2c11a5dc9b7481b442c7c8ce6b40bf06e2b208d7a96ac4107aba16cd69fcf2c8ededd0096447873cc08935d79b314ca5af8ef698e446413336e3a2c1c46d71afd4bef0584f196653c3fdb30cbda287861b5dc8bfbab1e3ae4bceae290cca3062567d4a78a0c5db978198351298f6ae66a32b4b914fc239853f844f2940146a867a3dfcc511e3e1fffc3204e24514e086fdc49298135f5eec8f2ac7c9e2d28d712b85eb4f60de8265e34834ad7a2c403b7d4dfe37d202515b56e00f9158846e8a3e8fecb7e3/5ae1daba93f3e89d
📊 Public AI & Earnings Teardown Three reports since Monday, and the market treated each one differently. AMD (Q3, Nov 3). Revenue rose 45% to a record $13.4 billion, ahead of the high end of its own guidance. Data-center revenue was $8.5 billion, up 97%, on EPYC processors and the launch of its MI450 AI GPUs. Non-GAAP EPS was $2.09, up 74%. Fourth-quarter revenue is guided to about $17 billion, plus or minus 3% (
AMD
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/36e0558338e88918ae75ecf06d55ac4de1ff1c271a24acb66cee85ff7181f8fe11b8131d837364f62991ef3d6eeef25cbfb8a1431932128dafa11aebe97241b6fdaa03111bf8fb5c239bef5ef21f76f3b7baa37381a916bad0ee25c49aec207b49bf24882feb673122bef7cc0eb5ce5e6d9eae9df470647975f3422af0f89761897ed870816775fd7dd2a2a7402c376bc90776cfadfef2b0c1ace9979ca04823/44a098bcc9c7bd08
). On the call, CEO Lisa Su said she expects server revenue to double in 2027 (
call transcript via Benzinga
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/27cd0693406149a8e21184ce20bdc4edd6fc58cd9fcd1e45152d0156add6d8c15b6e2f31e0794a9937e904f976b017e0b9420e8d5d01b18196d430632e42b6d2feb8c710b3c6b83926787a3e6c7f25d4e214958bbf7766583de9d8ad39a85185b0c9db0617d3c5461bce692e45d9c57325e750d08c8a6d1bb4e078aeae3795bf421abf9b203bb9feb7a1123d14beb02b7e2b39ca61955c2c1e5ab7c1a0cd1b83/298290fa48351410
). Palantir (Q3, Nov 2). Revenue rose 96% to $2.31 billion, and US commercial revenue, up 148% to $984 million, passed US government revenue for the first time. The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $8.530–8.534 billion, about 91% growth (
Palantir 8-K
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/a308bef43dc6ff04831c9b7d5561328e5b14051f0d2794cba091f09a1c9309fd32dfb4fd67a67e27e5fa6d666757d33f232637f7070db5f0b3899916ff3c1d95a88b331dde15da4c3f7210f0c2cec792f61ca9aa413c5450012e39a371c3617a77765ca687abd145509126b5304436765486761378a23899d32585105f03219b78441ac23cc476280ecb031eb34ec12e236fcedad9952eade87e51957437c539/ca7e2cfb7f0c8029
). The stock still fell 8.1% (
Benzinga
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/11f5dcbd2f631c271503fa14413352c077f9314f174b3877d08099942bf174afaa87e8160ef55c121a5a53454ebc946a602d48cd7633973ca4688e8f7847619513f3af7ea328a684da89a115adc956678d346774fd461ac67b0f6d69aad9eac8ec6b51987080d0aba54189952617e6b812f09e250a399239473c7ed6038b88d171b080c46139ccfa42c4945db4a024487894fa56112049f585a0d1b666a58abb/cf22516e7544119e
). Apple (fiscal Q4, Nov 2). Revenue rose 12% to a September-quarter record of $114.5 billion, capping a record $479 billion fiscal year, in CEO John Ternus's first report (
Apple 8-K
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/20790e7a60b3cbee970876fc25716f31357ced8ed42053ba0c1dcd8a9e23bc35be2adde5befb7b510b7fef439491b64a41259095fd25b1bc0066df9766e782aeb35aced67e93aafc38a1311c74db758acc8d7a17dd6350812373cdf1fa772eef831e6b0258b1069accec465de5556f6f33e92ad1c97a57e6c93b2d6118ebb5eb659c1e27657351abd34e30035da15035241cb40e8ceb3a3d2e5dcbbb18b798e1/a3f737072c1155c4
). Shares fell on Tuesday on its margin outlook (
CappNotes
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/5018dd8a5dff34fda6a8354d75258c927932485789c7f9479f8da648d2793af6748d5c84769cf15d077bb550b641fd0a3dc21764253e0190ed2a159117881370fa4c56b672cacdb8730321f5370ed960ac03b41819690db3a74abd25a8b118e9daa0cb274d3d1e17745aa7d45f9247fcc701373b5c2527b2604a810416f10f002b562d660d812af44af5dd31583cc9150b98addaa92e6a53f8636c4ed879ae29/6a37a28432ac1e43
). Our Interpretation: Growth alone no longer moves these stocks. AMD rose because its guidance shows growth accelerating; Palantir fell even after a beat and raise, because expectations were already high. What To Monitor: Qualcomm and Arm report today, a read on whether AI demand is broadening beyond data-center GPUs. THE AICHIEF SCORECARD Tuesday's bounce barely dented the damage. Over the past week, chips took heavy hits while hyperscalers fared only slightly better, setting up a brutal 1-month picture where not a single name on our board is in the green. Ticker 1-Week Perf 1-Month Perf YTD Perf Forward P/E GOOGL -12.65% -19.18% -10.53% 18.63 META +0.14% -16.29% -5.92% 18.19 MSFT -1.95% -0.80% +7.73% 21.66 AMZN -0.95% -0.28% +8.61% 23.21 NVDA -5.16% -13.48% +10.83% 13.08 AMD -13.63% -23.40% +125.95% 29.55 AVGO -2.98% -8.38% -4.04% 17.19 MRVL -29.40% -36.60% +102.37% 23.62 INTC -35.41% -47.89% +64.09% 33.35 Weekly Close Takeaways: Chips Crushed: The five chip names averaged a brutal -17.3% for the week, led by massive selloffs in Intel (-35.41%) and Marvell (-29.40%, including reaction to its Lumentum deal). (Note: AMD's roughly 8% after-hours jump on Tuesday is not reflected in these regular-session closes). Hyperscaler Weakness: The four hyperscalers averaged -3.9%, dragged down heavily by Alphabet (-12.65%). Meta was the sole bright spot for the week, edging up slightly by +0.14%. A Sea of Red for the Month: The monthly picture is even wider—chips averaged -26.0% against -9.1% for the hyperscalers, and not a single name on the board is green over the last 30 days. Intel's once-massive YTD gain has now shrunk to 64.09%. YTD Shuffles: Amazon (+8.61%) has overtaken Microsoft (+7.73%) as the best-performing hyperscaler this year. Alphabet, Meta, and Broadcom remain underwater YTD, while Nvidia stands as the cheapest name at 13.08x forward earnings. Methodology: Index closes from Investrade. Ticker values are editor-supplied price returns through the Nov 3 regular-session close, so after-hours moves are excluded. Averages are equal-weighted (hyperscalers: GOOGL, META, MSFT, AMZN; chips: NVDA, AMD, AVGO, MRVL, INTC). Forward P/E uses analyst estimates. Market analysis, not personalized investment advice. 🏦 Private Capital & Deals Radar Marvell to buy Lumentum for $115 billion. Lumentum shareholders will receive 4.5 Marvell shares per share, valuing Lumentum at about $1,132 a share, a 23.9% premium to its price on Oct. 28, before reports of talks. Marvell shareholders will own about 67% of the combined company, and three Lumentum directors, including CEO Michael Hurlston, will join Marvell's board. The deal combines Marvell's chip interconnect and custom silicon with Lumentum's lasers and optical components, and is expected to close in the first half of 2028 (
Lumentum 8-K
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/01d8f745e41ec9a792965ee02e67b2ba1e91f02a1b4116be61594e6e0126e0f25cfeadb29d6e104f8b374623042311e9c052e84033fe7e4a5694d84bd4d5f15b389f1b0a46ad3302dc7ebbff30d8ddbc84991f54e16f68932df82a2eb908830433df4a89f23fc6f5b22694ea1822b3132abaec0219bdb2f89ac1f65b898dfea57ecf2154a0d9304c80138beb1e6675bf8ee024803844824bdff00783e414e27b/dcf5c2323882281f
;
Marvell customer letter
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/d46dabc3c328af91adcf8f1fc8b24f4cec75e3716be5785f47db4055ea6b3fe31cb8b81d14aa2042d4ddeb35f38dffe0360a99b187cb22b746b2481dcbef712020898cadd9bfdd1b5689a1bbb06e492d3ae9084814b9ae7b5b01765b132fcece6ae76fd59444c6af2dc66b6ef156313348d93cb6c817c0cb06b7c30d5e7c140e9a3b8a23cb1654e9a78e8655e19007415b0fbc82074ad8c8b3fc7d3a99ee526e/d40413fa83f6051c
). Analysts push back on the price. TD Cowen downgraded Marvell to Hold and cut its target to $175 from $350, citing dilution and concern that the cycle is peaking (
Investrade
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/0fb5a3f145aed41d875c735b53b9ce33a606965f6f3dcb8f4e032ec7bd25d9f5c68cd332061f522f77ef21c77aab43c5be298e2cc0e458637c11fdfcdff66982ffea14dffcb6db5cd0fb02f69872709f8891f981c0cc5cc3334c097e2f024c79942a9f8a74297bcfde884bd6cf9626a571ef3d5d9a3d20e9e067b66f39b73f6876f4fa010ea99378d0a6c30e683fd0789d5706826ce6b6a38d08f427653df288/c56b465e94aeb89f
). Why It Matters: This is a bet that the next AI bottleneck is moving data between chips, not just the chips themselves. Paying in stock rather than cash also means Marvell takes on no new debt for the deal. From Our Partners Forget NVIDIA — These 5 Stocks Could Be Next
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/4ba03848658ed3aeab74644d71edc114625ec52066c3e0dfd0fc7e41aee3d923e899de1fff9629402b317a6f375749502463761affdb5d5ac4e6bb7676061b00860f27d426996126cde19d4af2c63cbf5fea49a912696d3dff68ee73056fefea95623756be480062515ba6147a4779d7e12c5599ad41a3465616f7a37c496c18d931f36d8aa277961641dbde1271a48ec70e3b735ca9b966fb91e215e7e1e8eeec55c1f9d3b39141c888634aa35a9a9a637d83674ec9478529a7db3cc75356da4903a6120c686189777fcc27475eb07cfbdc432ca8fa664cd9e98f6e53bb6d89a9fd283c5edc3c1766d0a6f6c925fa88ca2c184b6fb7081b39dc749c53bf1b1e/d377a370e9aa4e9e
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⚡ Compute, Power & Infrastructure Capital Supply, not demand, is the constraint again. AMD said it has secured the wafers, substrates, advanced packaging and memory needed for much higher production (CNBC). Marvell and Lumentum framed their deal around the same problem: AI clusters need far more optical connections between chips, and laser capacity is scarce. Rates and policy. Job openings and factory orders beat forecasts on Tuesday, pushing Treasury yields higher (CappNotes). Democrats are projected to win control of the House, per NBC News and CNBC; Senate control had not been called at press time (
NBC News
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/b7b7cdf217ec7620313c65d79dc1181bfdcf45bf8a85851dd79781ef044c50356007aead1746b7207d4b522c4ca42e8390296cef64c05b806d3266779f1dc63b8bde647131b9c12798857030ef95f358faa67c5b570957096f536b2563a79c1acb86e09b1f80ec999c045f0c9cd748dfc16f69db02a08ccf5e01eeb1925f0249c69e536d88297aa9a044b26a9f177ac2e1f5fe40fe8e522f7b8856895bea5f91/12d44b8a27b7ffd9
). Investors were watching the results for possible shifts in policy affecting AI infrastructure, among other areas (
Yahoo Finance
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/5f36b012860b9677a39ec6599c21f5274f11569dda66b6cd598d88f6204486a502d182c69210682291c1a06f781c777168484e3eec03eedbc4bea749f580d0221a328758c357d69e349b3cd7b07733e41b3fbf19ac67dd24eb5e0f4417a8a549445db749caf9421cd45664268d094f9f3a71a007d2dd7a44c6af481b3bc144614e320cc8f7cff676ef7405fd23b3c824f2574d2b95ded77e1a50b651e7a70ed4/892630bbdf564019
). Energy eases. Oil fell to a four-week low, with Brent at $103.60 and WTI at $96.09 (Investrade). Monitor: Whether Qualcomm and Arm confirm AMD's demand picture, and Friday's jobs report for the Fed's December decision. Finance Quote ❝ "You have to know what you own, and why you own it." — You have to know what you own, and why you own it. 📅 The Week Ahead & Three Takeaways Qualcomm and Arm — today, Wednesday, Nov 4. ADP private payrolls and ISM services also come out today (
BigGo Finance
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/3c38b961938772838e8e6172f52e3eb4b9d605e0d88b1501bd47d6ff8cbb5ff3d7468acb312b386e0658dee6dab8a54f889017e8729e58ba4d52235bec556110abe8cb5485da014e64f1c027aabd1dae4595eef466a32d5c5c154fd2319c56e88175abc9c32091250b6f07b0ee6765b6a46366aad3b68dea5747684c717bfcb629b215c771894af3932135c82c95977e2342127849bb8049e8021633d24a6787/63422084ad84f6df
). Lumentum earnings and Bank of England — Thursday, Nov 5. Lumentum's first report since agreeing to the Marvell deal. October jobs report — Friday, Nov 6, 8:30 a.m. ET. The last major data point before the Fed's December meeting (
StockTitan
https://link.mail.beehiiv.com/v2/c/04da04c203347eb46bd9fcf4912aef4f062cd09f3022ea462db5fabf2bce732809889076ef7cf103335920e047999715263e5c3fcb03eae6f6de75454c648fd2c00aeae8e6d66105bb3a1ccd56e1519fa16f2cba2788bf8655fd8d4f5b1c7313f5fd76d3470c8e3f1598f765afc2b2cd767611c41bb18b84fb7d333d15368b9dec46ae89e3e7e65eb41c71cf5a08826a2054119ca6d1b3728a7ae811b86229f9/9b211ec0838a7f4f
). Three Takeaways AI demand can carry a chipmaker. AMD's data center now makes up 64% of revenue and is growing 97%. Connectivity is the new deal frontier. Marvell is paying $115 billion in stock for optical capacity. Beats are no longer enough. Palantir raised its outlook and still fell 8.1%. Thanks for reading AIChief Capital . Questions, corrections, or tips? Hit reply; we read every email. AIChief Capital is market analysis and commentary, not investment advice. Nothing here constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Data is sourced from publicly available filings, earnings releases, and third-party financial data providers; errors may occur. Share on:
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